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Jakarta - Dow Jones: Saham US turun dari level 13 bulan tertingginya seiring dengan turunnya saham-saham energi setelah pertumbuhan pada persediaan minyak melebihi prediksi dan menghapus kenaikan yang sebelumnya terjadi akibat takeover yang dilakukan Hewlett-Packard Co. terhadap 3M Corp. Southwestern Energy Corp. dan Range Resources Corp. mengalami penurunan lebuh dari 4% dan memimpin penurunan pada 39 saham dari 40 saham energi pada S&P.

Dolar menguat terhadap 15 mata uang dan turut membantu penurunan pada komoditas. 3Com rally 31% setelah Hewlett Packard menawarkan untuk membeli perusahaan tersebut dengan nilai $2.7 milyar. Indeks S&P 500 (-1%) 1,087.24 setelah sebelumnya sempat menyentuh 1,101.97 sebelum departemen energi mengeluarkan laporannya. Dow Jones (-0.9%) 10,197.47.

Regional Pagi: Bursa Asia melemah di hari kedua, MSCI Asia Pacific Index melemah, seiring saham komoditas melemah dengan rendahnya harga minyak dan logam. Saham Jepang bergerak mixed, dibuka melemah, dengan Nikkei 225 (-0.3%) 9,780.41, dan Topix juga melemah 0.3% 865.45. Fuji Heavy Industries Ltd. (-1.1%) dengan aksi profit taking setelah penguatan di sesi sebelumnya. Produsen otomotif lainnya berada dalam area positif, Toyota Motor Corp. (+0.9%) dan Nissan Motor Co. (+0.3%).

BHP Billiton Ltd. (-1.6%) di Sydney. BlueScope Steel Ltd. (-1.4%), melanjutkan pelemahan dari kemarin setelah memprediksikan kerugian 1H. Central Glass Co. dan Nippon Sheet Glass Co. melemah lebih dari 5% setelah mencetak kerugian. NIKKEI 225 (-0.57%) 9,749.02. KOSPI INDEX (-0.17%) 1,570.06. S&P/ASX 200 INDEX (-1.15%) 4,693.20. STI (-0.64%) 2,708.90.

Commodity: Crude oil diperdagangkan di kisaran $77 per barel akibat adanya sinyal berkurangnya permintaan bahan bakar. Pada perdagangan kemarin minyak sempat turun 3% setelah departemen energi US mengeluarkan laporan yang menunjukkan persediaan mengalami peningkatan sebanyak 1.76 juta barel dan tingkat operasi kilang minyak US turun ke level terendahnya dalam setahun.

Crude oil untuk pengiriman Desember diperdagangkan pada level $76.91/barel. Crude Oil (+0.04%) $77/bbl, Gold (+0.15%) $1.105/oz, CPO (-0.9%) 2.161RM/MT, Nickel (-3.9%) $16.190/MT, TIn (-0.1%) $14.700/MT.


Economic & Industrial News

Mining: Divestasi Newmont Diperpanjang, Senin Depan Akhir Pembayaran Multicapital

Divestasi 14% saham Newmont diperpanjang hingga 23 Nov09 karena Pemda NTB-ANTM belum juga menemukan titik temu soal pembagian porsi saham tersebut. Kemenneg BUMN tetap mempertahankan ANTM sebagai wakil dari pemerintah dalam divestasi itu. Sementara itu, PT Multicapital diberi waktu hingga senin (16/11) pkl 17.00 WIB untuk membayar tunai pembelian akuisisi 10% saham Newmont senilai US$391 juta. Jika tak terealisasi, Pemda berhak menjual saham tersebut kepada pihak lainnya. Hingga saat ini, Grup Bakrie belum jelas kapan akan membayarnya.

Economic: Dana Asing di SBI Capai Rp 46 Triliun

Jumlah dana asing di SBI mencapai Rp 46 triliun, naik dari Oktober yang sebesar Rp 43 triliun. Aliran dana asing ke Indonesia kian marak terjadi khususnya pada sektor keuangan, selain pada SBI, dana asing pada instrumen SUN juga tercatat tembus Rp 100 triliun.

Economic: Utang Pemerintah RI Capai Rp 1.604 Triliun

Hingga September 2009, utang pemerintah pusat Indonesia tercatat sebesar US$ 165,76 miliar atau setara dengan Rp 1.604,69 triliun. Angka tersebut menurun dibandingkan jumlah utang per akhir 2008 yang mencapai Rp 1.636,74 triliun. Utang itu terdiri dari pinjaman US$ 65,42 miliar dan surat berharga US$ 100,33 miliar.
Corporate news

INCO : 50% Lahan Akan Dirasionalisasi

Sekitar 50 persen dari total luas lahan kontrak karya PT International Nickel Indonesia (Inco) akan dirasionalisasi Pemerintah Provinsi Sulawesi Selatan. Pembicaraan awal dengan Inco untuk merasionalisasi 50 persen dari 118 ribu hektar lahan kontrak karya mereka telah dilakukan dan gagasan rasionalisasi itu muncul sebab dalam waktu 30 tahun, perusahaan nikel asal Kanada itu hanya mampu mengelola lahan sekitar 9.000 hektar. Sisanya menjadi lahan tidur dan tidak bisa dikelola.

Mining : ANTM dan TINS Setuju Bergabung dengan PTBA

PT Aneka Tambang dan PT Timah telah menyetujui untuk bergabung dengan PT Tambang Batu Bara Bukit Asam untuk membeli proyek batubara BHP Billiton di Maruwai seluas 355.000 ha..

MEDC: Bersaing dengan Rajawali Miliki BHP

Rajawali Corp dan MEDC bersaing ketat menjadi calon mitra strategis PT BHP Billiton yang akan melepas 25% saham di tambang batubara Maruwai, Kalimantan Tengah. Dua perusahaan nasional itu akan mendapat lawan tangguh dari PTBA dan PT Rio Tinto Indonesia. BHP Saat ini menyeleksi hasil tender terbuka tersebut.

SMGR: Per Oktober Penjualan Naik 2,1%

Per Oktober 2009, SMGR mencatat kenaikan penjualan sebesar 2,1% yakni 14,04 juta ton dibandingkan periode yang sama tahun sebelumnya ditengah menurunnya konsumsi semen nasional dari 31,70 juta ton menjadi 31,05 juta ton.

KLBF: Seleksi 5 Produsen obat Lokal

KLBF tengah menyeleksi lima produsen lokal seiring rencana akuisisi produsen obat, makanan, dan minuman kesehatan pada 2010. Perseroan siapakan dana internal Rp500 miliar dan mengkaji emisi obligasi Rp300 miliar-1 triliun untuk pendanaanya. Selanjutnya, perseroan mematok capex FY10 Rp300-500 miliar.

AKRA: Akuisisi Perusahaan Tambang di Kalimantan

AKRA akuisisi 175 saham PT Pacifica Bangun Lestari di PT Anugrah Karya Raya, atau 87,5% saham perusahaan yang bergerak di sektor tambang batu bara tersebut. Akta jual beli saham tersebut telah ditandatangani pada 10 November 2009.

Earnings Watch

MASA: Laba Bersih 9M09 Naik 80,16% yoy

MASA mencatat laba bersih 9M09 naik 89,16% yoy dari Rp68,86 miliar jadi Rp124,07 miliar. Kenaikan dipicu oleh naiknya penjualan 19,18% yoy dari Rp1,05 triliun jadi Rp1,19 triliun serta lonjakan penghasilan bunga 211,33% jadi Rp667,42 miliar. Selanjutnya, total aktiva naik 8,96% dari Rp2,34 triliun jadi Rp2,55 triliun dipicu tambahan fasilitas pinjaman modal kerja dari BNGA dan PT Bank Ekspor Indonesia.

Rumor

Harga saham BBNI menuju Rp2.250-2.500/saham seiring kabar penerbitan obligasi dan pembagian dividen dalam waktu dekat. Selain itu masuknya perseroan ke indeks MSCI jadi sentimen positif.

Harga saham BISI berpotensi ke Rp2.000/saham. Kabarnya, perseroan akan stock split berasio 1:2 atau 1:5 dan segera meminta restu RUPSLB pada bulan ini.

Corporate Actions

Hari ini (13/11), listing atau start trading periode rights issue Pacific Utama Tbk (LPPF) Rp160/saham, atio 10 (new):1 (old) . End trading period (25/11)

Technical Picks

IHSG (2420.281) - SELL
ISAT (5300) - SELL
SGRO (2375) - SELL
UNTR (15,700) - SELL
ASII (32.750) – BUY
Gold (1101.91) - SELL
LME Spot Nickel : (16.130) – Speculative BUY
Natural Gas (4,397) – Speculative Buy.

sumber detik finance

New jobless claims lowest since January

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits last week fell to the lowest level since January, the government said on Thursday, evidence the hard-hit labor market may be slowly improving.

Initial claims for state unemployment insurance dropped to 502,000 in the week ended November 7 from a revised 514,000 the prior week. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected claims to slip to 510,000 from an initially reported 512,000.

"It shows that companies are cutting jobs at a slower pace than during the financial crisis," said Gary Thayer, chief macrostrategist for Wells Fargo Advisors in St. Louis. "We're trending in the right direction, but we are probably several months away from (rising) monthly payrolls numbers."

The U.S. economy lost 190,000 jobs last month and the unemployment rate hit a 26-1/2-year high of 10.2 percent. While employers are cutting jobs at a slower pace than they were at the start of the year, economists expect the jobless rate to move higher before peaking in mid-2010.

Rising unemployment is causing a political headache for President Barack Obama and his fellow Democrats, even though the economy appears to have snapped out of its deepest downturn since the 1930s, with growth at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter.

Some economist are concerned the country is gearing up for a "jobless recovery," which would hit U.S. consumers hard.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT.N), the world's largest retailer, on Thursday said its customers' are worried about unemployment as it forecast earnings for the current holiday quarter that could miss Wall Street estimates. The comments spurred concerns about overall consumer spending, which accounts for roughly 70 percent of U.S. economic activity.

Stocks fell, weighed down by the Wal-Mart news and by a rise in the U.S. dollar that pressured commodity-related shares. .N

(For a chart relating consumer sentiment and jobless claims, please see here)

The Democratic Party lost two state governorships to Republicans in elections this month that focused heavily on the economy, and on Thursday, Obama announced the White House would hold a forum on jobs growth in December.

"We all know that there are limits to what government can and should do even during such difficult times, but we have an obligation to consider every additional responsible step that we can to encourage and accelerate job creation in this country," Obama said.

NO JOBS GROWTH YET

While initial claims for jobless benefits are down sharply from the March peak of 674,000, analysts say they need to drop below 400,000 to offer a signal of job creation.

"The larger question is, Are new jobs becoming available? I don't think they are," said Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist for Robert W. Baird & Co in Nashville, Tennessee.

The four-week moving average of new claims, considered a better gauge of underlying trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, decreased to 519,750, the lowest since the week ended November 29, 2008. It has been dropping since August.

The number of workers still collecting benefits after an initial week of aid also fell. These so-called continued claims dropped to 5.63 million in the week ended October 31, the lowest level since March.

The decline in continued claims, which has been falling since early September, hints at some improvement in the labor market, but it also reflects the unemployed workers who have exhausted their 26 weeks of typical aid and are no longer counted.

According to the Labor Department, an additional 4.04 million people claimed unemployment benefits through temporary aid extension programs in the week ending October 24, the most recent week for which statistics were available.

Last week, Congress approved legislation that would further extend benefits by up to 20 weeks, the third time they have been extended since the recession began in late 2007.

by reuters

Warren Buffett: The financial panic is over

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Warren Buffett, perhaps the world's most admired investor, said on Thursday the financial panic that gripped the globe last year is a thing of the past, even as the U.S. economy's struggles persist.

"The financial panic is behind us," the world's second-richest person said at Columbia University's business school. "Our economy was sputtering, still is sputtering some."

Buffett, 79, nevertheless said there is greater opportunity for investments inside the United States than outside, noting that the U.S. economy is far larger than any other.

He appeared at Columbia with Microsoft Corp founder Bill Gates, the world's richest person and a Buffett friend and bridge partner.

Last month, preliminary government data showed the U.S. economy expanded in the third quarter, the first three-month period of growth since the second quarter of 2008.

Nonetheless, the U.S. unemployment rate last month reached 10.2 percent, the first double-digit reading in 26 years.

Buffett last week made a big bet on the U.S. economy when his Berkshire Hathaway Inc agreed to pay about $26.4 billion for the 77 percent of railroad company Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp that it did not already own.

"There will be more people in this country, 10, 20, 30 years from now," Buffett said. "They'll be moving more and more goods back and forth to each other and the most environmentally friendly and cost-efficient way of doing that is railroads."

Buffett said rail transport uses one-third less fuel and pollutes the air less than trucks, and that one train can supplant about 280 trucks.

Gates, who is also a Berkshire director, said other sectors might also boost the economy over the long term, including information technology, energy and medicine.

Separately, Buffett advised the U.S. government not to coddle companies that need bailouts to survive or preserve capital.

"More sticks are called for," he said.

Buffett gave Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner "high marks" for how they managed the financial crisis.

The billionaire has praised Bernanke in the past, while mocking Geithner's stress tests for banks.

CNBC television was a host for the Columbia event.

by reuters

Stocks fall on energy shares, consumer worries

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Dow industrials six-day winning streak came to a halt on Thursday as a drop in oil prices pulled energy stocks lower and a guarded outlook from Wal-Mart fanned worries about consumer spending.

Stocks were also undermined by a U.S. dollar rally, as its safe-haven appeal rose after several policymakers around the world warned the economic recovery was fragile.

With earnings season coming to a close, and looking beyond the Federal Reserve's meeting last week, investors searched for new catalysts to determine the market's direction.

"As the S&P 500 has gone above 1,100, it has had a hard time holding on to gains," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial in Shelton, Connecticut.

Both the Dow industrials and the S&P 500 hit 13-month closing highs on Wednesday.

Oil futures settled down 3 percent below $77 per barrel as data confirmed crude and refined product inventories rose last week. The S&P energy sector index fell 2 percent, with shares of Hess Corp (HES.N) down 2.5 percent to $55.95 and Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY.N) down 1.6 percent to $81.81.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 93.79 points, or 0.91 percent, to 10,197.47. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX dropped 11.27 points, or 1.03 percent, to 1,087.24. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC lost 17.88 points, or 0.83 percent, to 2,149.02.

"In order to get to the next level up, (the market) does need a strong catalyst, and most of the time the stronger dollar has been a negative," Krosby said.

Shares of insurers and banks were among top laggards, with the S&P financial sector index .GSPF down 1.8 percent.

Wal-Mart, the world's largest retailer, reported a higher quarterly profit and its shares rose 0.5 percent to $53.24, but it forecast earnings for the key holiday quarter that could miss Wall Street's consensus estimate.

Concern about consumer spending weighed on the S&P retail index .RLX, which fell 0.8 percent.

After the market's close, shares of Walt Disney Co (DIS.N) jumped 3.6 percent to $30.10 after the media company posted a rise in quarterly earnings and its revenue was higher than expected.

Advance Micro Systems Inc (AMD.N) rose 21.8 percent to $6.48 and was the among the most traded stocks during the regular session on the New York Stock Exchange after it agreed with fellow chipmaker Intel Corp (INTC.O) to settle all outstanding legal disputes. Intel will pay AMD $1.25 billion as part of the settlement.

Network equipment maker 3Com Corp (COMS.O) gained 31.1 percent to $7.46 a day after Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ.N) said it has agreed to buy the company for $2.7 billion. [ID:nN11380741]. Hewlett-Packard shed 0.6 percent to $49.70.

Volume was light on the New York Stock Exchange with 1.05 billion shares changing hands, below last year's estimated daily average of 1.49 billion. On the Nasdaq, about 2.24 billion shares traded, slightly below last year's daily average of 2.28 billion.

by reuters

HK stocks set to open flat; energy stocks fall

 HONG KONG, Nov 13 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares are set for a
flat start on Friday, as a drop in oil prices weighs on energy
stocks including PetroChina (0857.HK) (601857.SS), while weaker
overseas markets hurt sentiment.

 Top Asian oil and gas producer PetroChina and Chinese
offshore oil producer CNOOC (0883.HK) both fell about 1 percent.

 The benchmark Hang Seng Index .HSI was set to open down
0.07 percent, or 16.23 points, at 22,381.34.

 The China Enterprises Index .HSCE of top locally listed
mainland Chinese stocks was set to fall 0.31 percent to
13,283.87.

by reuters

Rupiah Ceria di Pagi Hari

Jakarta - Nilai tukar rupiah kembali dibuka menguat tipis setelah kemarin melemah. Namun rupiah diprediksi masih sulit bergerak menguat hingga di bawah level 9.400 per dolar AS.

Pada perdagangan Jumat (13/11/2009), rupiah dibuka menguat tipis ke 9.405 per dolar AS, dibandingkan penutupan kemarin di level 9.430 per dolar AS.

Di pasar global, dolar AS kembali bergerak menguat setelah Menteri Keuangan AS Timothy Geithner menyatakan komitmennya tentang perlunya penguatan dolar AS untuk stabilitas ekonomi.

Euro tercatat melemah ke 1,4845 dolar, dibandingkan penutupan sebelumnya di level 1.4978 dolar. Sementara dolar AS menguat ke 90,34 yen, dibandingkan sebelumnya di 89,84 yen.

Geitner dalam pertemuan dengan 21 Menteri Keuangan APEC di Singapura kembali menyatakan komitmennya terhadap penguatan dolar AS.

"Sangat penting bagi AS memiliki dolar AS yang kuat. Ini sangat penting untuk pemulihan ekonomi AS," jelas Geithner seperti dikutip dari AFP.

Komitmen itu kembali membuat dolar AS yang sempat merosot tajam akhirnya tegak kembali. Penguatan dolar itu juga memicu pelemahan di bursa Wall Street dan luruhnya harga-harga komoditas.

sumber detik finance

Koreksi Sambangi Wall Street

Koreksi kembali terjadi atas saham-saham di Wall Street. Sementara harga minyak mentah dunia turun tajam hingga 3% setelah cadangan minyak mentah AS menunjukkan kenaikan.

Menjelang berakhirnya masa pengumuman laporan keuangan, dan usainya sentimen keputusan Bank Sentral AS pekan lalu, investor kini sedang mencari katalis baru untuk menentukan arah pasar.

"Setelah S&P 500 naik di atas 1.100, maka kini memasuki masa yang sulit untuk mendapatkan gain lagi," ujar Quincu Krosby, analis dari Prudential Financial seperti dikutip dari Reuters, Jumat (13/11/2009).

Pada perdagangan Kamis (12/11/2009), indeks Dow Jones ditutup melemah 93,79 poin (0,91%) ke level 10.197,47. Indeks Standard & Poor's 500 juga melemah 11,27 poin (1,03%) ke level 1.087,24 dan Nasdaq melemah 17,88 poin (0,83%0 ke level 2.149,02.

Sentimen negatif juga datang dari penguatan dolar AS. Mata uang ini kembali dicari setelah para pembuat kebijakan di berbagai belahan dunia memperingatkan pemulihan ekonomi yang masih labil. Hal itu memicu investor untuk kembali memburu dolar yang merupakan safa-haven.

"Untuk bisa menguat ke level berikutnya, pasar tidak perlu katalis yang kuat, dan pada sebagian besar waktu, penguatan dolar menjadi sentimen negatif," tambah Krosby.

Perdagangan masih sangat tipis, dengan transaksi di New York Stock Exchange hanya 1,05 miliar, di bawah rata-rata tahun lalu yang sebanyak 1,49 miliar. Di Nasdaq, transaksi juga hanya 2,24 miliar, di bawah rata-rata tahun lalu yang sebanyak 2,28 miliar.

Harga Minyak Merosot

Sementara harga minyak mentah dunia tercata merosot tajam setelah adanya lonjakan cadangan minyak mentah dunia, sementara permintaan terindikasi terus melemah.

Kontrak utama minyak light sweet pengiriman Desember merosot 2,34 dolar menjadi US$ 76,94 per barel. Sementara minyak Brent pengiriman Desember merosot 1,93 dolar menjadi US$ 76,02 per barel.

Departemen Energi AS merilis cadangan minyak mentah AS naik 1,8 juta untuk pekan yang berakhir 6 November. Pasar hanya mengantisipasi kenaikan 200 ribu barel.

sumber detik finance

IHSG Dibayangi Koreksi

Jakarta - Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) kemarin ditutup menguat berkat lonjakan saham PT Astra International Tbk (ASII). Namun koreksi atas saham PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) membuat IHSG tidak berhasil mempertahankan posisinya selama intraday.

Pada perdagangan Kamis (12/11/2009), IHSG akhirnya ditutup menguat 16,402 poin (0,68%) ke level 2.420,281. Indeks LQ 45 juga menguat 4,579 poin (0,97%) ke level 476,948. Penguatan IHSG terjadi di saat bursa-bursa regional mengalami koreksi.

Kini sentimen negatif kembali datang dari melemahnya bursa-bursa utama dunia. IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat (13/11/2009) diprediksi akan bergerak melemah mengirimi pergerakan bursa-bursa regional.

Saham-saham pertambangan yang kemarin menderu diprediksi akan mengalami koreksi menyusul turunnya harga-harga komoditas di pasar internasional akibat menguatnya dolar AS.

Bursa Wall Street kemarin mengalami koreksi setelah dolar AS menguat tajam. Pada perdagangan Kamis (12/11/2009), indeks Dow Jones ditutup melemah 93,79 poin (0,91%) ke level 10.197,47. Indeks Standard & Poor's 500 juga melemah 11,27 poin (1,03%) ke level 1.087,24 dan Nasdaq melemah 17,88 poin (0,83%0 ke level 2.149,02.

Bursa Tokyo juga memulai perdagangan akhir pekan ini dengan pelemahan. Indeks Nikkei-225 dibuka melemah 31,88 poin (0,33%) ke level 9.772,61.

Berikut rekomendasi saham untuk hari ini:

Optima Sekuritas:

Penguatan indeks 16 poin atau 0.6% ke level 2.420 di sumbang terutama ASII kemudian BBCA, ADRO dan SMGR. Sementara itu saham BUMI justru melemah 1% padahal menyumbang 31% dari nilai transaksi bursa sehingga mengisyaratkan banyak investor yang rugi. Dari posisi penutupan, indeks berada di level midle band dan MACD memberi signal bullish crossover sehingga peluang untuk rally cukup terbuka. Selanjutnya indeks bakal menguat di level 2.400-2.450.

Panin Sekuritas:

IHSG kemarin berhasil menguat ditengah tekanan terhadap bursa regional Asia. Menguatnya indeks kemarin didukung oleh kenaikan saham bluechip yang dipengaruhi oleh masuknya 3 emiten ke dalam MSCI index. Sementara untuk hari ini kami melihat peluang indeks untuk menguat relatif terbatas. Saham pertambangan dan perkebunan dalam jangka pendek diperkirakan juga masih akan volatile sehubungan dengan harga komoditas yang masih sangat fluktuatif. Pergerakan saham Grup Bakrie kami perkirakan juga masih akan membayangi pergerakan indeks. Kisaran support-resistance hari ini 2.403-2.442.

sumber detik finance