Selamatkan 30% Investasi ke Emas

Jakarta - Krisis finansial global diprediksi akan berlangsung lama. Investor yang ingin mencegah penurunan investasinya di surat berharga bisa melakukan diversifikasi sepertiga investasinya ke emas.

Meski harga emas cenderung turun yang per 20 November 2008 ada di posisi US$ 735,9 per troy ounce, namun emas bisa menjadi pelindung di saat investasi di pasar modal penuh ketidakpastian.

Jika harga emas US$ 735,9 per troy ounce maka harga emas per gram menjadi US$ 23,66 (1 troy ounce = 31,1 gram) sehingga harga emas dalam rupiah menjadi sekitar Rp 284 ribu per gram (kurs 12.000/US$).

"Memang harga emas cenderung turun, tapi ini waktu yang tepat untuk mengamankan investasi. Minimal 30% investasi bisa didiversifikasi ke emas," kata Ketua Asosiasi Pedagang Emas dan Permata Indonesia (Apepi) Jeffrey Thumewa dalam perbincangannya dengan detikFinance, Kamis (20/11/2008).

Jeffrey menilai dengan melakukan diversifikasi ke emas maka nilai investasi akan lebih solid apalagi situasi ekonomi dalam negeri juga ikut tertular krisis seperti saat ini.

Diakui Jeffery, tren harga emas saat ini sedang turun mengikuti harga minyak dunia. Namun menurutnya meski harga emas turun sepanjang nilai dolar AS menguat tidak akan ada penurunan nilai investasi.

"Kecuali harga emas turun dan dolar ikut turun maka nilai investasinya akan menurun," katanya.

Namun dia optimistis penurunan harga emas tidak akan sedrastis harga minyak, karena harga minyak lebih banyak unsur politisnya seperti kepentingan negara-negara besar.

Jeffrey mengaku pelaku pasar di komoditas emas memang sulit memprediksi sampai kapan situasi ekonomi akan pulih. Namun untuk berjaga-jaga menghadapi kelesuan ekonomi yang akan berkepanjangan ini, pembelian emas saat ini merupakan momentum yang tepat.

"Kalau pun investasi emas jangan yang ada di pasar berjangka, karena pasar global sedang susah lebih baik membeli dalam bentuk fisik," saran Jeffrey.

Hingga saat ini menurut Jeffrey memang belum ada animo beli yang besar terhadap emas. Semua pemilik dana memilih wait and see melihat perkembangan situasi global.

"Tapi menurut saya justru saat ini adalah waktu yang tepat untuk investasi emas," katanya.

 

Bagaimana dengan Anda?

Sumber: http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/11/20/084319/1039987/479/selamatkan-30-investasi-ke-emas

LPS Siap Lepas Kembali Bank Century ke Pemilik Lama

Jakarta - Lembaga Penjamin Simpanan (LPS) selaku pemegang saham pengendali PT Bank Century Tbk (BCIC) yang baru, berencana melepas kembali sebagian saham BCIC kepada pemilik lama.

"Tentu nanti akan kami tawarkan juga kepada pemilik lama," ujar Direktur Utama BCIC, Maryono dalam jumpa pers di kantor LPS, Wisma BRI 2, Jakarta, Minggu (23/11/2008).

Pada 21 November 2008, LPS resmi mengambil alih seluruh saham BCIC di luar masyarakat sebanyak 80%. Saham tersebut sebelumnya dimiliki oleh PT Century Mega Investindo dan First Gulf Asia Holding.

Sementara sisanya 20% yang dimiliki publik tidak akan diganggu gugat. Kendati demikian, mekanismenya seperti apa akan ditentukan oleh Bapepam-LK sebagai institusi yang berwenang dalam pengaturan pasar modal.

"Bentuknya bisa tender offer lalu dilepas kembali atau lainnya. Tergantung Bapepam," ujar Maryono.

Mengenai pemegang saham pengendali lama yang seluruh kepemilikannya telah diambil alih LPS, Maryono mengatakan LPS akan menawarkan kembali saham BCIC jika proses perbaikan bank telah selesai dilaksanakan.

"Pemegang saham lama tentu akan kami tawarkan lagi. Siapapun investor yang tertarik membeli saham BCIC akan kami tawarkan. Tentunya setelah perbaikan-perbaikan selesai dilakukan LPS. Setidaknya paling cepat satu tahun lah," ujar Maryono.

Namun kepastiannya akan sangat tergantung pada perjanjian antar kedua belah pihak nanti.

"Mengenai kepastiannya tergantung perjanjian antara kami dengan pemegang saham lama nanti. Tergantung tawar menawar nanti," ujar Maryono.

Seperti diketahui, BCIC sebelumnya telah menandatangani Letter of Intent (LoI) untuk pelepasan 70% saham kepada Sinar Mas Multiartha. Namun Gubernur BI Boediono mengatakan, transaksi tersebut batal sementara karena proses negosiasi memakan waktu lama, sementara Bank Century harus segera diselamatkan.

Namun Direktur Pelaksana Sinar Mas Group Gandhi Sulistyanto menegaskan, pihaknya belum sampai kesimpulan untuk membatalkan transaksi. Sinar Mas masih akan meneruskan due dilligence, setelah LoI diteken.

Sumber : http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/11/23/172013/1041516/5/lps-siap-lepas-kembali-bank-century-ke-pemilik-lama

LPS Tidak Ambil Alih Saham Bank Century Milik Publik

Jakarta - Lembaga Penjamin Simpanan (LPS) sebagai pemegang saham pengendali baru PT Bank Century Tbk (BCIC) menyatakan porsi saham publik tidak akan diganggu gugat.

"Sesuai peraturan pasar modal, kepemilikan saham publik di BCIC tetap ada dan tidak diganggu gugat," ujar Direktur Utama BCIC, Maryono dalam jumpa pers di kantor LPS, Wisma BRI 2, Jakarta, Minggu (23/11/2008).

Menurut Maryono, saham-saham yang sudah berada di publik secara prinsip kepemilikan publik tidak akan diganggu gugat. Namun dengan pengambilalihan ini, dengan sendirinya akan menjadi milik LPS secara sementara.

"Jadi sementara semua kami ambil alih. Nanti akan kami laporkan ke Bapepam. Baru ditentukan mekanismenya seperti apa, apakah akan dibeli dulu kemudian dijual kembali. Tergantung pembicaraan dengan Bapepam," ujar Maryono.

Maryono mengatakan saat ini saham BCIC sudah disuspensi. Jadi pada dasarnya tidak ada masalah dengan kepemilikan publik yang sementara diambil alih oleh LPS.

"Prosesnya nanti akan kami bicarakan dulu dengan Bapepam," ujar Maryono.(dro/qom)

Sumber: http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/11/23/164536/1041506/5/lps-tidak-ambil-alih-saham-bank-century-milik-publik

Kondisi Bank Century Tak Prima, Tapi Nasabah Jangan Panik

Jakarta - Direktur Utama baru PT Bank Century Tbk (BCIC), Maryono mengimbau pada para nasabah-nasabahnya agar tidak panik menanggapi peralihan kepemilikan perseroan. Nasabah diminta jangan ragu bahwa pemerintah menjamin seluruh dana nasabah.

"Kami minta nasabah tidak panik dan percaya pada pemerintah," ujar Maryono dalam jumpa pers di kantornya, Wisma BRI 2, Jakarta, Minggu (23/11/2008).

Maryono mengatakan bahwa dengan diambil alihnya perseroan oleh Lembaga Penjamin Simpanan (LPS), seluruh dana nasabah dijamin sepenuhnya, sehingga tidak ada yang perlu dikhawatirkan.

"Kami berharap tidak terjadi rush secara besar-besaran akibat kepanikan. Kami berharap nasabah bertindak normal saja, sebab sudah tidak ada yang perlu dikhawatirkan lagi," ujar Maryono yang sebelumnya menjabat sebagai Grup Head Jakarta Network Bank Mandiri itu.

Maryono menjelaskan, kondisi perseroan saat ini memang dalam keadaan yang kurang bagus. Namun ia menjamin dana nasabah akan dijamin oleh pemerintah melalui LPS.

"Kondisi BCIC memang tidak dalam keadaan prima. Namun nasabah tidak perlu khawatir, karena LPS telah menempatkan dana dalam jumlah yang cukup untuk menjamin keamanan dana nasabah," ujar Maryono.

Sayangnya ia belum mau membeberkan berapa besar modal yang ditempatkan dalam perseroan. "Jumlahnya akan kami umumkan setelah semua proses sudah beres dan waktunya sudah tepat untuk diumumkan," elak Maryono.

Sumber : http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/11/23/162556/1041500/5/kondisi-bank-century-tak-prima-tapi-nasabah-jangan-panik

Wall St Week Ahead: Stocks eye Citigroup, Geithner's next moves

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street faces stiff headwinds in the week ahead, the fate of Citigroup largest among them, that stand in the way of building on Friday's big rally and preventing November from winding up as one of the worst months for stocks on record.

The holiday-shortened week begins with President-elect Barack Obama introducing his economic team, including expectations he will formally nominate Timothy Geithner, president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, as his secretary of the Treasury. It will end with the first key indication on how much consumers will spend this holiday season.

Investors will be looking to Obama and Geithner for signals on what they'll do to stem the economic crisis.

In the past week alone, markets erased more than a decade of gains as banks, led by Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), touched new lows and worries mounted about the likelihood of a bailout for automakers. Stocks also reeled from a slew of negative data that put U.S. new jobless claims at a 16-year high.

"The market is still going to remain concerned regarding the state of the financials and the huge meltdown in the banks," said Fred Dickson, market strategist of D.A. Davidson & Co in Lake Oswego, Oregon.

Key economic indicators on tap for next week include existing-home sales for October, consumer sentiment and confidence, and weekly U.S. jobless claims data.

But market-watchers will hone in on Citigroup over the weekend for any developments as to the future of the bank, the second-largest in the United States by assets.

Citigroup's board is meeting Friday to discuss the bank's options, according to a person familiar with the matter. The bank could sell parts of the company, or merge with another institution.

The meeting came amid reports that directors were looking to replace Citigroup's chief executive, Vikram Pandit, and Citigroup was cutting additional staff in Japan.

"Hopefully it'll be a positive news story, whether it be a sale of the company, a restructuring, a new management -- the market will take anything at this point," said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey.

"That would probably continue a rally on Monday morning. If we get nothing out of Citibank, we have a little bit of a problem on Monday morning."

Citigroup's shares shed 20 percent on Friday to close at $3.77, for a loss of around 60 percent for the week. In after-hours trade on Friday Citi shares rose 6.6 percent.

WORST MONTH FOR STOCKS

For the week, the Dow lost 5.3 percent, the S&P 500 fell 8.4 percent, and the Nasdaq lost 8.8 percent, even after all three indexes surged more than 5 percent on Friday.

The dismal week capped off a historic November that is quickly becoming one of the worst months for U.S. stocks since October 1987.

Through Friday, the S&P is down more than 17 percent for the month of November, the Dow is off nearly 14 percent, and Nasdaq is nearly 20 percent lower.

Light volume owing to the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday and a half day on Friday will almost certainly exacerbate volatility, as retailers take the spotlight in the latter half of the week. Wall Street will look to Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, which kicks off the holiday shopping season and is traditionally the biggest shopping day of the year, for a gauge of consumer spending.

But outlooks from major retailers suggest this could be one of the worst holiday shopping seasons in years.

"It's going to give new definition to the word 'black,'" Dickson said. "There's a lot of attention to the retail side of next week."

Investors will also take some cues from the outlooks of homebuilder D.R. Horton Inc (DHI.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), equipment maker Deere and Co (DE.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), apparel retailer Talbots Inc (TLB.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and luxury jewelry retailer Tiffany and Co (TIF.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz).

Other retailers expected to post results next week include American Eagle Outfitters (AEL.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Borders Group (BGP.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Dollar Tree (DLTR.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and J Crew Group (JCG.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz).

Investors will also be eyeing news on the expected nomination of Geithner for the Treasury post, which on Friday sparked a huge late-day rally in stocks after it was reported by NBC News.

Investors will be watching for a strong signal that Obama and his team are ready to take firm action on the economic crisis, particularly in light of the policy zigzags under the Bush administration, like the recent reversal on the Troubled Asset Relief Program.

Geithner's selection "takes away some uncertainty and gives investors a sense of continuity," Dickson said. "It may settle the market just a little bit."

Still, analysts note that any boost to U.S. stocks will hinge on specific policies submitted by Obama's economic team.

"The markets will want to hear reassurance that he knows how to handle the situation, that he's not anti-investor," said Jay Mueller, economist and portfolio manager at Strong Capital Management Inc.

"We'll improve regulation, but that doesn't necessarily mean harsher regulation or more intrusive regulation."

(Additional reporting by Leah Schnurr, Rodrigo Campos, Doris Frankel and Charles Mikolajczak; Editing by Leslie Adler)

sumber : http://www.reuters.com/article/hotStocksNews/idUSTRE4AL02E20081122?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=10112

Eni CEO says oil prices could fall more -report

MILAN, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Oil prices could fall further, Italian oil company Eni SpA's (ENI.MI: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) chief executive officer, Paolo Scaroni, was quoted as saying on Saturday.

Oil has plummeted nearly $100 a barrel since hitting record highs of over $147 in July, with demand shrinking as the credit crisis hit large consumer nations.

"I think for a little while yes," Italian news agency ANSA quoted Scaroni saying on the sidelines of an event when asked whether oil prices would fall further.

"It depends on what OPEC will decide ... in Cairo."

Members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will meet next week in Cairo, but may not take any decision to reduce output to defend prices.

When asked whether he thought OPEC could cut output, ANSA quoted Scaroni as saying: "I don't think they think they will cut (next week), but they could prepare a cut a few days later ... I don't know." Scaroni also said European families could save 2,000 euros if oil prices stayed at current levels next year.

He said an attempt to bring back nuclear power in Italy -- banned 20 years ago in a referendum -- was "laudable" but would require "a titanic effort" to convince Italians.

sumber : http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssEnergyNews/idUSLM30972720081122

Obama sees long haul ahead, China offers help

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. President-elect Barack Obama said on Saturday he was crafting a two-year plan to fight an economic crisis of "historic proportions" and Chinese leader Hu Jintao said his country was ready to play a big role in the global effort.

Hu, U.S. President George W. Bush and other leaders at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum called for a global free trade deal to offset the economic crisis.

U.S. automaker General Motors Corp was considering "all options," including bankruptcy, because of its liquidity problems, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Citigroup Inc was in talks with the U.S. government amid doubts about its ability to survive.

Obama, who takes over from Bush on January 20, said, "There are no quick or easy fixes to this crisis, which has been many years in the making, and it's likely to get worse before it gets better."

He was speaking in a radio address on Saturday, the day after reports that he had chosen New York Federal Reserve President Timothy Geithner as Treasury secretary rallied stock markets.

Obama, a Democrat, said swift and bold action was needed to prevent a deep slump, a spiral of falling prices and millions of job losses.

He signaled he was prepared to push for a much larger package than the $175 billion stimulus measure he called for in his election campaign. His plan would set a goal of creating 2.5 million more jobs by January 2011.

"The news this week has only reinforced the fact that we are facing an economic crisis of historic proportions," Obama said.

CHINA TO THE RESCUE?

In Lima, Chinese President Hu said the Asian powerhouse would work alongside the international community to strengthen cooperation and protect international markets.

China has been a major driver of the world economy as its rapid expansion fueled demand for raw materials. But with so many troubled countries looking to China to ease their financial woes, Beijing had been wary of taking a leading role.

"China is within the scope of its abilities taking major efforts to address the financial crisis," Hu said in a speech to business leaders.

This included providing support for liquidity for domestic financial institutions and coordinating macroeconomic policy with other countries.

The Wall Street Journal said General Motors was considering "all options" because of its liquidity problems. A GM spokesman told the paper that management was doing everything it could to avoid a bankruptcy filing.

Chief Executive Rick Wagoner, along with bosses from Ford Motor Co, and Chrysler, went to Capitol Hill this week to plea for $25 billion to bail out the auto industry.

Citigroup executives, meanwhile, met Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury Department officials in recent days to discuss its options, which include another capital injection from the Treasury, a person familiar with the matter said.

The bank's management has also discussed selling off units or finding another bank to merge with.

In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel said she expected the first few months of next year to bear more bad news for Europe's largest economy, which is now in recession.

Merkel told Welt am Sonntag newspaper that economic development in Germany, Europe and the rest of the world was hard to predict, but "we have to expect the coming year, at least in the first months, to be a year of bad news."

George Soros, one of the world's first and best-known hedge fund managers, told Germany's Der Spiegel magazine the United States needed an infrastructure program and a large economic stimulus package to provide its cities and states with sufficient cash.

The U.S. government has launched a $700 billion financial bailout initiative in response to the turmoil. But the U.S. economy needed additional support measures of between $300 billion and $600 billion, Soros said.

He criticized U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson for having reacted too late to the crisis but said he had high hopes about Obama's ability to manage the situation.

"The duration of the crisis depends on the success of his policies," Soros said, according to Der Spiegel.

(Reporting by Reuters bureaux; Writing by Eddie Evans).

sumber : http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE4AL2C720081123

American, Asian Leaders Push Free Trade To End Crisis

Leaders from Asia and the Americas promised Saturday to push for a global free trade deal and reform international lenders in an effort to keep the world from sliding into a deep recession.

U.S. President George W. Bush, Chinese President Hu Jintao, Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso and other members of the 21-nation Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation group, or APEC, said they would refrain from raising trade barriers over the next 12 months.

They also supported overhauls of the International Monetary Fund, or IMF, and the World Bank at a time when more countries need emergency bailouts to avert devastating economic turmoil.

"The current situation highlights the importance of ongoing financial sector reforms in our economies," the leaders said at the mid-point of a two-day summit meeting at a fortified defense compound in Peru's capital, Lima.

On his last scheduled trip abroad before handing over power to President-elect Barack Obama on Jan. 20, Bush joined his APEC peers in rejecting protectionism as an option if economies worsen.

The leaders also committed to a breakthrough in the stalled Doha round of trade talks before the end of this year. "It's important for us to continue to work together in this time of economic turmoil," Bush said earlier Saturday.

The APEC group accounts for more than half of global output and includes countries such as Russia, Indonesia, Australia, Canada and Mexico. Before the group met, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Mexico's Felipe Calderon blamed the United States for starting the crisis and called for better banking regulations.

"Our closest neighbor and largest trading partner is the epicenter of the financial earthquake and global slowdown," Harper said in a speech to business leaders. Calderon said structural problems in the global economy were allowed to fester before spiraling out of control. "This wasn't caused by developing countries," he said.

APEC members said they strongly supported recommendations that the Group of 20 leading economies made last week in Washington. Nine of APEC's members belong to the G20. In Washington, the G20 agreed to strive for a deal on key farm and manufactured goods trade issues in the Doha round by the end of the year.

It also pushed for government spending or tax incentives to spur economies and tougher oversight of the financial industry.

sumber : http://www.cnbc.com/id/27860878

Obama Warns On Economy: Works On Stimulus Plan

U.S. President-elect Barack Obama said Saturday that he was crafting an aggressive two-year stimulus plan to revive the troubled economy, warning that swift action was needed to prevent a deep slump and a spiral of falling prices.

"If we don't act swiftly and boldly, most experts now believe that we could lose millions of jobs next year," the Democratic president-elect said in a weekly radio address.

Obama, who succeeds President George W. Bush on Jan. 20, said the economy could get worse before it gets better. "We now risk falling into a deflationary spiral that could increase our massive debt even further," he said.

Obama said the plan would aim to save or create 2.5 million jobs by January 2011 and would be "big enough to meet the challenges we face." Any additional jobs would offset what is expected to be a dismal employment picture in the near future.

A day after U.S. stock markets rallied on his reported choice of Timothy Geithner as Treasury secretary, Obama gave a bleak assessment of the economy in his most detailed comments on the subject since winning the Nov. 4 election.

In another pivotal appointment, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton appeared all but certain to become Obama's secretary of state, bringing his one-time main Democratic rival into the fold of his new administration.

The likely appointments of Clinton and Geithner, president of the New York Federal Reserve and a former Treasury official in President Bill Clinton's administration, underscored a centrist bent to the personnel decisions being made by Obama, who had a liberal record as a U.S. senator from Illinois.

sumber : http://www.cnbc.com/id/27855899

Citigroup Talks, But Nothing 'Walks' To Stabilize

Officials from Citigroup and government officials continue to discuss ways to stabilize the company's stock price over the weekend but have yet to come up with a plan to install confidence into the firm that has seen its shares battered into penny-stock territory and raising the prospect of a government bailout, people close to the firm say.

As of Saturday afternoon, the general consensus between officials from Citi and government officials from the US Treasury department and US Federal Reserve is that the government will not takeover Citigroup in the way it took control of AIG—by lending the firm massive amounts of money and in return assuming a huge equity position.

Government officials fear taking over Citigroup would create a precedent: Unlike AIG, Citigroup's balance sheet is relatively healthy, with relatively strong levels of capital particularly compared to most of its competitors.

Still, officials from the Treasury and Citigroup are unsure what it would take to restore confidence in the company, including a possible smaller capital injection or some sort of statement that Citigroup is financially sound.

For that reason, Citigroup officials are continuing to explore possible merger possibilities and a spin off of some of Citigroup's businesses, even as CEP Vikram Pandit publicly stated the sale of the firm's massive and coveted broker business, Smith Barney is off the table, these people say.

Both officials at Citigroup and in the government concede the situation facing Citigoup is daunting. Because of Citigroup's size and scope—it operates in just about every country and competes in just about every financial business, the company's survival is a national concern.

Citigroup has spent the past week telling investors that its capital position is strong, but investors have lost confidence in the current management led by CEO Vikram Pandit who has been in the job less than a year, and the firm's board, which appeared to ignore widespread calls by analysts to integrate the firms operations and slash its massive workforce until recently.

Meanwhile, various merger possibilities seem slim. A deal with investment banks Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs would create massive overlap and would lead to huge layoffs. There aren't many banks with a strong deposit base that Citigroup can buy with its depressed stock price.

Pandit, for his part, has cut the workforce to 350,000 from 375,000 and just announced another 50,000-job cut by early 2009. But for investors, those moves were too little too late. Nearly a year ago, Citigroup's share traded at around $50. On Friday they traded at $3.77 and failed to rebound even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average of large company stocks spiked nearly 500 points on the news that President-elect Barack Obama will name NY Fed President Tim Geithner as his new Treasury Secretary.

sumber : http://www.cnbc.com/id/27859019

Soros: More Money Needed For U.S. Bailout

American investor George Soros said he would like to see Washington put $300 to $600 billion more into the $700 billion U.S. economic bailout package, the German magazine Der Spiegel reported in an advance of Monday's edition.

The weekly quoted the billionaire as saying that the United States needs a bigger economic program than the existing Troubled Asset Relief Program package to accommodate American cities and states with the money they need to get out of the financial turbulence, and that the country needs an infrastructure investment program.

Soros also criticized U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson for not seeing the economic crisis earlier.

sumber : http://www.cnbc.com/id/27856498

Penerbitan Surat Utang AS Bahayakan Rupiah

Jakarta - Rencana penerbitan surat utang negara Amerika Serikat (AS) dinilai akan menambah ketatnya likuiditas dolar di dunia dan semakin membahayakan nilai tukar rupiah. Pemerintah diminta mengeluarkan langkah nyata untuk mengantisipasinya.

"Jika pemerintah AS jadi menerbitkan surat utang, penguatan dolar akan terus terjadi dan membahayakan semua mata uang dunia, termasuk rupiah," ujar pengamat Farial Anwar saat dihubungi detikFinance, Minggu (23/11/2008).

Menurut Farial, rencana AS menerbitkan surat utang senilai US$ 500 miliar disebabkan pemerintah AS tidak memiliki dana untuk merealisasikan bailout US$ 720-750 miliar. "AS akan defisit besar jika tidak menerbitkan surat utang. Nilai surat utang yang akan diterbitkan belum pasti, tapi yang jelas akan berpengaruh besar pada seluruh mata uang dunia," jelas Farial.

Penerbitan surat utang miliaran dolar diperkirakan bakal menyerap dolar dari seluruh dunia ke AS. Menurut Farial, dalam kondisi seperti sekarang ini, penyerapan dolar akan menyebabkan dolar semakin langka di pasaran.

"Ini akan mendorong penguatan drastis mata uang dolar terhadap seluruh mata uang dunia, terutama negara-negara yang ikut membeli surat utang AS. Rupiah bakal anjlok tajam. Saya belum bisa perkirakan angkanya, yang jelas anjlok cukup tajam," jelas Farial.

Untuk mengantisipasinya, Farial mewakili pengamat ekonomi lainnya menghimbau pemerintah segera menyusun langkah nyata yang antisipatif menghadapi situasi tersebut. Sebab saat ini, dolar menjadi pilihan investasi utama para investor menyusul kejatuhan pasar saham dan komoditas.

"Investasi dolar saat ini menjadi pilihan utama. Sebab investasi di saham atau komoditas kurang menarik karena sedang terpuruk. Oleh sebab itu pemerintah perlu menyusun langkah pengamanan rupiah yang nyata, terutama menghadapi penerbitan surat utang AS. Karena ini masalah krusial. Jika rupiah anjlok semakin tajam, bisa membahayakan seluruh ekonomi negara ini," pungkas Farial.(dro/dro)

sumber : http://www.detikfinance.com/read/2008/11/23/123017/1041442/6/penerbitan-surat-utang-as-bahayakan-rupiah