Daily Forex Brief
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Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 nations are meeting in Asia over the weekend at a time when monetary policy is becoming ever more crucial for FX markets. In the early part of the financial crisis, everyone seemed to be moving in the same direction, in other words rates moving down. Now, we're seeing much greater divergence, both in expectations and actual rates, which is causing more trends in currencies. The ECB has been easing and may do more next month. Expectations on the UK have shifted dramatically over the past 6 months towards earlier tightening.
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Flash Markit/HSBC PMI fell to a seven-month low of 48.3
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19th February 2014 @ 19:11 GMT
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Bank of England keeps digging
12/02/14 @ 12:21 GMT by Simon Smith, Chief Economist
The Bank of England is in a hole and instead of climbing out, it has continued to dig. Recall, when forward guidance was introduced 6 months ago, there were several knock-outs, which allowed the Bank 'wiggle room' around its new 7.0% threshold level on the unemployment rate, above which rates would continue to be kept low. Six months on, with unemployment having moved close to the 7.0% level far faster than anyone anticipated, the Bank has introduced a lot more complexity to the policy outlook.
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